Kecskemeti TE 1-0 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 17 Feb 2024

Kecskemeti TE
1-0 HT 1-0
Ujpest
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.44
6+ Goals
12%
13.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kecskemeti TE v Ujpest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.94/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.56
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.1 Crosses 20.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ujpest
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.38 xG 2.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
371 Passes 492
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 5-3 HT 2-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
21.05.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 3-0 HT 2-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
26.02.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
07.10.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
30.05.2015 Ujpest Ujpest 3-0 HT 2-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
21.11.2014 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC

Kecskemeti TE 1-0 Ujpest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
1-0
AWAY Ujpest
1.29 xG 1.96
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
199 Passes 463
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 40
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kecskemeti TE squeezed past Ujpest 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kecskemeti TE as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 32% of the ball to Ujpest's 68%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 1.29 to 1.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ujpest.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 2.33 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest?

Kecskemeti TE 1-0 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kecskemeti TE win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 42%, draw 26%, Ujpest 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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