Mezokövesd-Zsory 1-2 Kisvarda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.45
6+ Goals
7%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mezokövesd-Zsory EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -18%
0.73/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.50
-26% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
18.6 Crosses 15.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mezokövesd-Zsory
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kisvarda
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.98 xG 2.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
363 Passes 296
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-1 HT 2-1 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory MAC
18.03.2023 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory 1-1 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
28.10.2022 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory 1-1 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
07.08.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 4-2 HT 2-1 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory MAC
09.04.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1-2 HT 1-1 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory MAC
12.12.2021 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory 0-2 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mezokövesd-Zsory
1-2
AWAY Kisvarda
1.37 xG 0.78
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
446 Passes 224
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mezokövesd-Zsory vs Kisvarda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kisvarda edged past Mezokövesd-Zsory 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Kisvarda made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mezokövesd-Zsory had 62% of the ball to Kisvarda's 38%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.37 to 0.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mezokövesd-Zsory.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kisvarda led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mezokövesd-Zsory and 1.83 for Kisvarda.

What was the final score of Mezokövesd-Zsory vs Kisvarda?

Mezokövesd-Zsory 1-2 Kisvarda in the Hungary - NB I on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mezokövesd-Zsory vs Kisvarda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mezokövesd-Zsory win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mezokövesd-Zsory 36%, draw 28%, Kisvarda 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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