Ujpest 1-1 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 27% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -10%
1.45/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.98
-30% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.8 Crosses 18.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.68 xG 1.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
448 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-3 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
10.05.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-3 HT 0-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
17.02.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
21.10.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 5-3 HT 2-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
21.05.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 3-0 HT 2-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
26.02.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
1-1
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
0.82 xG 0.84
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 7
497 Passes 265
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest and Kecskemeti TE couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ujpest had 62% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 38%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.82 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ujpest and 1.67 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Kecskemeti TE?

Ujpest 1-1 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 49%, draw 24%, Kecskemeti TE 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ujpest), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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