Kecskemeti TE 1-3 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -30%
1.61/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.96
-4% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.7 Crosses 18.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ujpest
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.37 xG 1.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
294 Passes 460
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-3 HT 0-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
17.02.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
21.10.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 5-3 HT 2-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
21.05.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 3-0 HT 2-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
26.02.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
07.10.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
1-3
AWAY Ujpest
0.80 xG 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
302 Passes 409
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest beat Kecskemeti TE 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kecskemeti TE at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 43% of the ball to Ujpest's 57%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.80 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kecskemeti TE had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.83 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest?

Kecskemeti TE 1-3 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kecskemeti TE win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 43%, draw 25%, Ujpest 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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