Ferencvaros 2-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.29
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
29%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
15%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-6.7pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.4pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+5.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.39/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.31
+2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -25%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
39.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
28.3 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
24.04.2024 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-2 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MACK
14.03.2015 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
24.08.2014 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-1 HT 2-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
2-1
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
2.83 xG 1.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
393 Passes 257
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros squeezed past Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 57% of the ball to Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's 43%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.83 to 1.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ferencvaros's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ferencvaros and 0.67 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Ferencvaros 2-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB I on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 66%, draw 18%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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