Paksi SE 2-1 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.54/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.11
+8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
25.4 Crosses 21.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.28 xG 1.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
217 Passes 306
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 5-0 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
23.09.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
19.05.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-2 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
25.02.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-4 HT 1-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
09.10.2022 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-3 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-1
AWAY Puskas FC
1.50 xG 0.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
257 Passes 240
67% Pass Accuracy 66%
34 Box Touches 13
37 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE nicked a narrow win over Puskas FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Paksi SE made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Paksi SE had 52% of the ball to Puskas FC's 48%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.50 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paksi SE and 2.00 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Puskas FC?

Paksi SE 2-1 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 37%, draw 25%, Puskas FC 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puskas FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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