ENPPI 1-1 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

ENPPI
1-1 HT 0-1
Al Ahly
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2025/2026

ENPPI vs Al Ahly Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
61%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
4.41
6+ Goals
7%
24.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.37 — our 37% vs market 33.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
26%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
60%
Away Win
64%
-3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ENPPI v Al Ahly — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ENPPI EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
0.91/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.68
+23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +22%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
231 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
14.2 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

ENPPI vs Al Ahly Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ENPPI
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.70 xG 1.51
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
206 Passes 556
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.12.2024 ENPPI ENPPI 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
14.08.2024 ENPPI ENPPI 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
08.04.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-2 HT 1-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
04.10.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 1-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSRK
23.05.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 HT 2-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
05.01.2023 ENPPI ENPPI 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR

ENPPI 1-1 Al Ahly — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ENPPI
1-1
AWAY Al Ahly
1.31 xG 1.31
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
168 Passes 410
62% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ENPPI vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ENPPI and Al Ahly shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Al Ahly carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, ENPPI had 34% of the ball to Al Ahly's 66%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 1.31 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ENPPI and 1.67 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of ENPPI vs Al Ahly?

ENPPI 1-1 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ENPPI vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split ENPPI 15%, draw 24%, Al Ahly 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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