Aalesund II 4-1 Nardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
49%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.28
No
37%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
39%
-10.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
49%
Away Win
39%
+10.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
74%
-11.1pp
37%
BTTS No
26%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Nardo EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.21/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.08
-42% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nardo
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2025 Nardo Nardo 2-3 HT 1-1 Aalesund II Aalesund II NOR4
POST-MATCH Aalesund II vs Nardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund II swept aside Nardo 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nardo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Aalesund II vs Nardo?

Aalesund II 4-1 Nardo in the Norway - 3rd Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund II vs Nardo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aalesund II 29%, draw 22%, Nardo 49%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nardo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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