Kalisz 0-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 31% vs market 28.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.30/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.84
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +59%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 Kalisz Kalisz 1-0 HT 0-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL2
04.11.2024 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
0-1
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Podbeskidzie Bielsko squeezed past Kalisz 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Podbeskidzie Bielsko as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kalisz had 52% of the ball to Podbeskidzie Bielsko's 48%, shots finished 10-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kalisz and 0.00 for Podbeskidzie Bielsko.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Kalisz 0-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko in the Poland - 2nd Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Before kick-off our model rated an Podbeskidzie Bielsko win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 30%, draw 29%, Podbeskidzie Bielsko 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) ✓ Under 2.5
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