Gaziantep FK 2-0 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 14 Sep 2025

Gaziantep FK
2-0 HT 0-0
Kocaelispor
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.21
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
4%
12.35
X/1
15%
5.2
X/2
8%
6.42
X/X
12%
4.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
2/2
10%
4.45
2/X
11%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.71/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.10/3.34
+14% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -92% / -55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.6 Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
The Meetings
16.12.2020 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-2 HT 1-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TÜK
07.03.2010 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
11.10.2009 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 3-1 HT 2-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
29.03.2008 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-2 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
04.11.2007 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 5-2 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
28.01.2007 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L

Gaziantep FK 2-0 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
2-0
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.89 xG 0.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
251 Passes 257
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 10
7 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK beat Kocaelispor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gaziantep FK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 48% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 52%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 1.89 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gaziantep FK and 2.33 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor?

Gaziantep FK 2-0 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - Super League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 48%, draw 26%, Kocaelispor 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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