Kayserispor 1-1 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 14 Sep 2025

Kayserispor
1-1 HT 0-0
Göztepe
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Kayserispor vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.42
1/2
8%
23.65
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
10%
7.56
X/2 EV+ ✗
24%
4.81
X/X
8%
4.77
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.67
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · X/2 at 4.81 — our 24% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kayserispor v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 50%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.31/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.06
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.0 Crosses 20.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Kayserispor vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Göztepe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 1.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 Passes 351
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.02.2025 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-0 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
23.09.2024 Göztepe Göztepe 3-0 HT 2-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
09.04.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 1-2 HT 1-2 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
22.11.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
03.04.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
05.12.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL

Kayserispor 1-1 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
1-1
AWAY Göztepe
0.66 xG 0.48
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
240 Passes 220
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor and Göztepe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Göztepe at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kayserispor had 53% of the ball to Göztepe's 47%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.66 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kayserispor and 1.17 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Göztepe?

Kayserispor 1-1 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 30%, draw 22%, Göztepe 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Göztepe), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Göztepe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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