Kayserispor 1-0 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Feb 2025

Kayserispor
1-0 HT 1-0
Göztepe
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Kayserispor vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 33% vs market 27.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.42
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
10%
6.13
X/2
12%
5.16
X/X
14%
4.36
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
21%
3.38
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kayserispor v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -21%
1.54/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.21
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.7 Crosses 19.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Kayserispor vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Göztepe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.32
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 Passes 380
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2024 Göztepe Göztepe 3-0 HT 2-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
09.04.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 1-2 HT 1-2 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
22.11.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
03.04.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
05.12.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
02.03.2020 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL

Kayserispor 1-0 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
1-0
AWAY Göztepe
2.26 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
230 Passes 253
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 32
29 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor squeezed past Göztepe 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Kayserispor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kayserispor had 50% of the ball to Göztepe's 50%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 2.26 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kayserispor and 1.17 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Göztepe?

Kayserispor 1-0 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 33%, draw 28%, Göztepe 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Göztepe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Göztepe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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