Alanyaspor 3-2 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-11.4pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
2.29/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.12
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
27.0 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.34 xG 1.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
360 Passes 335
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
18.02.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-3 HT 2-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
01.10.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
06.05.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-2 HT 2-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
11.11.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
07.05.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
3-2
AWAY Adana Demirspor
4.81 xG 1.28
65% Ball Possession 35%
25 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
379 Passes 164
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
42 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor edged past Adana Demirspor 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alanyaspor as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 65% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 35%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 4.81 to 1.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alanyaspor's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alanyaspor and 2.00 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Alanyaspor 3-2 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 58%, draw 23%, Adana Demirspor 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanyaspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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