Alanyaspor 3-3 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 Feb 2024

Alanyaspor
3-3 HT 2-0
Adana Demirspor
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Alanyaspor vs Adana Demirspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 26% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.96
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
9%
4.96
X/2
11%
6.59
X/X
12%
4.87
2/1
9%
24.15
2/2
15%
4.42
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alanyaspor v Adana Demirspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.67/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.62
+10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.5 Crosses 13.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Alanyaspor vs Adana Demirspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.33 xG 1.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
405 Passes 313
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
06.05.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-2 HT 2-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
11.11.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
07.05.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
10.02.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TÜK
18.12.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 1-2 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL

Alanyaspor 3-3 Adana Demirspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
3-3
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.09 xG 1.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
298 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor and Adana Demirspor couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 47% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 53%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 1.09 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alanyaspor and 2.17 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Alanyaspor 3-3 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 41%, draw 27%, Adana Demirspor 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alanyaspor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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