Gaziantep FK 1-1 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 Feb 2024

Gaziantep FK
1-1 HT 0-0
Samsunspor
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
37%
3.04
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
6%
22.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 34% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.5
1/2
4%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
11%
6.03
X/2
12%
4.99
X/X
15%
3.82
2/1
11%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.43
2/X
14%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.5pp
37%
Draw
30%
+7.5pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-8.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 42%
+15% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.35/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.13
+33% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
18.7 Crosses 24.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.23 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
190 Passes 496
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 27
4 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
22.01.2018 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
13.08.2017 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
11.03.2017 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
16.10.2016 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
06.03.2016 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L

Gaziantep FK 1-1 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
1-1
AWAY Samsunspor
0.47 xG 0.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
245 Passes 298
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK and Samsunspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 37% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 46% of the ball to Samsunspor's 54%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.47 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gaziantep FK and 0.33 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor?

Gaziantep FK 1-1 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 32%, draw 37%, Samsunspor 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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