MKE Ankaragücü 0-3 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 34% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.56
1/2
7%
22.9
1/X
11%
15.9
X/1
7%
9.66
X/2
14%
3.82
X/X
12%
5.24
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.1
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.1pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-9.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.6pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 57%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.26/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.08
-31% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
16.5 Crosses 21.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 2.01
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
234 Passes 420
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
30.05.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-4 HT 1-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
04.01.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 2-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
03.03.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 1-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
31.10.2020 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
12.07.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
0-3
AWAY Galatasaray
0.34 xG 2.46
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 27
3 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 16
228 Passes 394
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 44
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray cruised past MKE Ankaragücü 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 39% of the ball to Galatasaray's 61%, shots finished 8-27, expected goals 0.34 to 2.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 1.67 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Galatasaray?

MKE Ankaragücü 0-3 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 27%, draw 30%, Galatasaray 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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