Trabzonspor 3-2 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.96
2-3 Goals
34%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
14%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.99
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
27%
4.18
X/2
6%
10.65
X/X
10%
5.86
2/1
8%
21.1
2/2
7%
8.26
2/X
5%
16.35
Value flag · X/1 at 4.18 — our 27% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
-0.0pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.96/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.64
+10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.0 Crosses 15.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.65 xG 0.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
450 Passes 282
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.04.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4-2 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
10.12.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-3 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
18.09.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-2 HT 2-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
09.04.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
22.11.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 3-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
3-2
AWAY Gaziantep FK
2.49 xG 2.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
375 Passes 313
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor squeezed past Gaziantep FK 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 52% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 48%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 2.49 to 2.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Trabzonspor and 0.83 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Trabzonspor 3-2 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 59%, draw 21%, Gaziantep FK 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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