Trabzonspor 4-2 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Apr 2024

Trabzonspor
4-2 HT 0-2
Gaziantep FK
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
17%
3.78
X/2
10%
11.35
X/X
14%
5.83
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
7%
8.75
2/X
6%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.95/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.79
+3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.5 Crosses 16.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
426 Passes 308
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-3 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
18.09.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-2 HT 2-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
09.04.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
22.11.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 3-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
13.02.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
02.10.2020 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL

Trabzonspor 4-2 Gaziantep FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
4-2
AWAY Gaziantep FK
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
510 Passes 319
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor saw off Gaziantep FK 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 60% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 40%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Trabzonspor and 0.67 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Trabzonspor 4-2 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 50%, draw 27%, Gaziantep FK 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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