Çaykur Rizespor 2-2 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 29% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
21%
4.68
X/2
9%
7.01
X/X
15%
4.66
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.03
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.74/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.34
+24% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.5 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.09 xG 1.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
414 Passes 222
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
11.12.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
22.02.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
17.10.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 5-3 HT 2-3 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
13.03.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
25.10.2019 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
2-2
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
182 Passes 513
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor and MKE Ankaragücü shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Çaykur Rizespor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 32% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 68%, shots finished 12-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.67 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Çaykur Rizespor 2-2 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - Super League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 44%, draw 29%, MKE Ankaragücü 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✗ Under 2.5
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