MKE Ankaragücü 3-1 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 16 Jan 2024

MKE Ankaragücü
3-1 HT 0-0
Çaykur Rizespor
📅16/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

MKE Ankaragücü vs Çaykur Rizespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
13%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.75
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
16%
4.41
X/2
7%
7.13
X/X
12%
4.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
15%
5.4
2/X
8%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MKE Ankaragücü v Çaykur Rizespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.95/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.14
+23% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards –

MKE Ankaragücü vs Çaykur Rizespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.13 xG 2.01
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
229 Passes 403
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.12.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
22.02.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
17.10.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 5-3 HT 2-3 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
13.03.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
25.10.2019 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
04.05.2019 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-2 HT 0-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL

MKE Ankaragücü 3-1 Çaykur Rizespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
3-1
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü saw off Çaykur Rizespor 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had MKE Ankaragücü as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 53% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 47%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 2.00 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Çaykur Rizespor?

MKE Ankaragücü 3-1 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 45%, draw 28%, Çaykur Rizespor 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ BTTS Yes
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