Kasımpaşa 0-1 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.71
2-3 Goals
35%
1.91
4-5 Goals
30%
2.81
6+ Goals
16%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.76
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1
17%
3.96
X/2
6%
12.75
X/X
12%
7.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
18.95
2/2
9%
8.45
2/X
7%
16.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.95 — our 7% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
3.10/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/3.17
+43% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / -38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.12.2011 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 4-2 HT 2-2 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
0-1
AWAY Bandırmaspor
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor edged past Kasımpaşa 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kasımpaşa at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 64% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 36%, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Bandırmaspor?

Kasımpaşa 0-1 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 54%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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