Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 Kırklarelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.85
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
10%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.59
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
20.1
X/1
18%
3.59
X/2
8%
15.45
X/X
8%
8.06
2/1
5%
19.55
2/2
7%
11.0
2/X
8%
19.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kırklarelispor EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.74/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.37
+12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kırklarelispor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
13.10.2018 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 HT 1-0 Kırklarelispor Kırklarelispor S2-K
18.03.2018 Kırklarelispor Kırklarelispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-B
29.10.2017 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 HT 0-0 Kırklarelispor Kırklarelispor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
2-0
AWAY Kırklarelispor
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Kırklarelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük got the better of Kırklarelispor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 53% of the ball to Kırklarelispor's 47%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 0.33 for Kırklarelispor.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Kırklarelispor?

Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 Kırklarelispor in the Turkey - Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Kırklarelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 58%, draw 20%, Kırklarelispor 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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