Hatayspor 5-1 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 16 Jan 2024

Hatayspor
5-1 HT 4-1
Sakaryaspor
📅16/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

Hatayspor vs Sakaryaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 24% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.91
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.6
X/1
21%
3.68
X/2
10%
11.35
X/X
10%
5.87
2/1
8%
21.75
2/2
8%
8.82
2/X
6%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hatayspor v Sakaryaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.73/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.80
-21% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
6.0 Yellow Cards –

Hatayspor vs Sakaryaspor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
31.03.2013 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Hatayspor Hatayspor S2-K

Hatayspor 5-1 Sakaryaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
5-1
AWAY Sakaryaspor
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor swept aside Sakaryaspor 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hatayspor as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 54% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 46%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Hatayspor 5-1 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 54%, draw 23%, Sakaryaspor 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hatayspor) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hatayspor) ✗ BTTS No
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