Alanyaspor 6-0 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.51
2-3 Goals
36%
2.01
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.66
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.25
X/1
14%
3.66
X/2
10%
15.1
X/X
10%
6.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.35
2/2
8%
11.35
2/X
7%
18.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
69%
-15.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+12.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
2.28/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.66
+2% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
29.8 Crosses 11.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
3W-0D-2L
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.87 xG 0.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
477 Passes 290
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
05.02.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
27.08.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
25.11.2009 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T2-2
13.01.2007 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor BİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
6-0
AWAY İstanbulspor
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
567 Passes 336
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor cruised past İstanbulspor 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alanyaspor as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 61% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 39%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Alanyaspor and 0.60 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs İstanbulspor?

Alanyaspor 6-0 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - Super League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 53%, draw 22%, İstanbulspor 25%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanyaspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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