Adana Demirspor 0-2 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.06
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 32% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.4
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
10%
6.67
X/2
19%
5.08
X/X
12%
5.0
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
12%
3.0
2/X
9%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -23%
1.50/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.10
+14% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
10.5 Crosses 22.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Alanyaspor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.55 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 Passes 370
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-3 HT 2-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
01.10.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
06.05.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-2 HT 2-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
11.11.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
07.05.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
10.02.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
0-2
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.44 xG 1.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
385 Passes 315
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor beat Adana Demirspor 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Alanyaspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 55% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 45%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.44 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.33 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Alanyaspor?

Adana Demirspor 0-2 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 32%, draw 30%, Alanyaspor 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanyaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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