Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
17.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 33% vs market 27.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.98
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
17%
5.66
X/2
15%
5.34
X/X
11%
4.24
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
15%
3.67
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.2pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -27%
1.46/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.11
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.3 Crosses 19.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.95 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 274
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
08.10.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
04.03.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor T1L
11.09.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
17.12.2019 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
05.12.2019 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-2 HT 3-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
0-1
AWAY Samsunspor
0.49 xG 0.97
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
466 Passes 233
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor squeezed past Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Samsunspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 64% of the ball to Samsunspor's 36%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.49 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.50 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 35%, draw 27%, Samsunspor 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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