Zamora 1-0 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.64/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.19
-11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.8 Crosses 19.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.81 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 Passes 307
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
13.11.2024 Zamora Zamora 3-3 HT 2-2 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
29.10.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 3-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
13.08.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
25.02.2024 Zamora Zamora 1-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
22.07.2023 Zamora Zamora 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
1-0
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
0.73 xG 0.47
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 Passes 169
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora nicked a narrow win over Rayo Zuliano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zamora as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zamora had 59% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 41%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.73 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Zuliano led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zamora and 1.50 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Rayo Zuliano?

Zamora 1-0 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zamora 46%, draw 32%, Rayo Zuliano 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamora), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamora) ✓ Under 2.5
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