Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
52%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
31%
-6.1pp
52%
Away Win
44%
+7.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.85/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.84
+3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
11.7 Crosses 16.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.07 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
15.08.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
24.02.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
12.08.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
02.04.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
15.09.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.72 xG 1.48
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
212 Passes 395
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello squeezed past Deportivo La Guaira 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Guaira at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 37% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 63%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.72 to 1.48 — on chances, Deportivo La Guaira could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.67 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 24%, draw 25%, Deportivo La Guaira 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5
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