Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 15 Aug 2024

Academia Puerto Cabello
0-1 HT 0-0
Deportivo La Guaira
📅15/08/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academia Puerto Cabello v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.17/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.05
-13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
18.5 Crosses 16.6
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
395 Passes 288
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
12.08.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
02.04.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
15.09.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
06.03.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
18.09.2021 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
0-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.85 xG 0.26
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
376 Passes 327
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira edged past Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Academia Puerto Cabello at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 53% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 47%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.85 to 0.26 — on chances, Academia Puerto Cabello could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.83 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 42%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Guaira 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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