Monagas vs UCV Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monagas v UCV — Team-Based Signals
Monagas vs UCV Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
UCV
VEN
0-2
HT 0-0
Monagas
VEN
0-2
HT 0-1
Monagas
VEN
1-0
HT 0-0
UCV
VEN
3-0
HT 2-0
Monagas
VEN
Monagas 1-3 UCV — Actual Match Statistics
UCV saw off Monagas 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 33% — and on the day UCV made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monagas had 60% of the ball to UCV's 40%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.82 to 1.92.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monagas and 0.67 for UCV.
What was the final score of Monagas vs UCV?
Monagas 1-3 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monagas vs UCV?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Monagas 35%, draw 33%, UCV 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.