Karlbergs BK 3-1 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.6pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 53%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
2.32/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.34
+82% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlbergs BK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vasalund IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
29.03.2024 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 3-1 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlbergs BK
3-1
AWAY Vasalund IF
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Karlbergs BK vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK got the better of Vasalund IF 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vasalund IF at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Karlbergs BK had 46% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 54%, shots finished 10-19.

What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs Vasalund IF?

Karlbergs BK 3-1 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 27%, draw 24%, Vasalund IF 48%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vasalund IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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