INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 4-0 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-6.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.5pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.0pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.64/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.84
+14% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +17%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
466 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
4-0
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) cruised past Nojima Stella (K) 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) had 56% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 44%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 4-0 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 64%, draw 21%, Nojima Stella (K) 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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