Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.48
Over 2.5
49%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.9pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
64%
-12.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
36%
+12.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
18.05.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) nicked a narrow win over Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had 45% of the ball to Albirex Niigata (K)'s 55%, shots finished 18-13.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 50%, draw 23%, Albirex Niigata (K) 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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