Patriotas Boyaca 1-2 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
0.98/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.00
-8% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
229 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
15.0 Crosses 17.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 0.91
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
212 Passes 342
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 2-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
27.08.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
01.03.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
12.10.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
04.02.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
29.10.2020 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
1-2
AWAY Santa Fe
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
296 Passes 175
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe squeezed past Patriotas Boyaca 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 59% of the ball to Santa Fe's 41%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 1.50 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Santa Fe?

Patriotas Boyaca 1-2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 28%, draw 30%, Santa Fe 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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14 Oct 2024
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