Santa Fe 3-0 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -18%
1.33/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.43
+3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
20.2 Crosses 12.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.82 xG 1.25
59% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
354 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
01.03.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
12.10.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
04.02.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
29.10.2020 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOLK
23.10.2020 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-3 HT 0-2 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
3-0
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.26 xG 0.76
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
290 Passes 179
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe cruised past Patriotas Boyaca 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Santa Fe had 59% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 41%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.26 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santa Fe and 0.83 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Santa Fe 3-0 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 48%, draw 27%, Patriotas Boyaca 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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