Deportivo Pasto 0-0 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.20/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.94
-24% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.8 Crosses 14.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Once Caldas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.03 xG 1.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
229 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
14.03.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
23.08.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-0 HT 2-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
23.02.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 3-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
01.10.2021 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-1 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
25.02.2021 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
0-0
AWAY Once Caldas
0.82 xG 0.23
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
392 Passes 139
80% Pass Accuracy 59%
18 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto and Once Caldas played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 67% of the ball to Once Caldas's 33%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 0.82 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.67 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?

Deportivo Pasto 0-0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 40%, draw 30%, Once Caldas 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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