Morpeth Town 1-2 Cleethorpes Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cleethorpes Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.36/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.50
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
301 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morpeth Town
1-2
AWAY Cleethorpes Town
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Cleethorpes Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cleethorpes Town squeezed past Morpeth Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cleethorpes Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Morpeth Town had 45% of the ball to Cleethorpes Town's 55%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Cleethorpes Town?

Morpeth Town 1-2 Cleethorpes Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Cleethorpes Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cleethorpes Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 35%, draw 27%, Cleethorpes Town 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cleethorpes Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cleethorpes Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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