Hartlepool United 1-3 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Oct 2025

Hartlepool United
1-3 HT 0-2
Gainsborough Trinity
📅14/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Hartlepool United vs Gainsborough Trinity Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.23
Over
52%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.67
No
44%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
43%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Hartlepool United v Gainsborough Trinity — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity The Market 21%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
0.04 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.85
0.08 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.50
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Great
Great Defensevs comparable teams Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
294 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hartlepool United vs Gainsborough Trinity Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.10.2025 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United FAK

Hartlepool United 1-3 Gainsborough Trinity — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
1-3
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Hartlepool United vs Gainsborough Trinity
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gainsborough Trinity had too much for Hartlepool United 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.

A gentle 47% lean on Hartlepool United didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The market had leaned harder still (1.53, ~65%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (56%) came home.

Under the surface, Hartlepool United had 65% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 35%, shots finished 20-12.

Hartlepool United vs Gainsborough Trinity Result & Final Score

Hartlepool United 1-3 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - FA Cup on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hartlepool United vs Gainsborough Trinity Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 47%, draw 26%, Gainsborough Trinity 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartlepool United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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