Chester 2-0 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.18
Over
54%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.51
No
44%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
42%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe The Market 34%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
0.86 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.23
0.66 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.12
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Great Defensevs comparable teams Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Morecambe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
11.10.2025 Morecambe Morecambe 1-1 HT 1-0 Chester Chester FAK
16.07.2022 Chester Chester 1-1 Morecambe Morecambe HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
2-0
AWAY Morecambe
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Chester vs Morecambe
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Chester beat Morecambe 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Chester had 43% of the ball to Morecambe's 57%, shots finished 12-8.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chester and 1.00 for Morecambe.

Chester vs Morecambe Result & Final Score

Chester 2-0 Morecambe in the England - FA Cup on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chester vs Morecambe Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chester 51%, draw 23%, Morecambe 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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