Morecambe 1-1 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morecambe The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester The Market 38%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
3.40 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.85
1.57 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.70
Great Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Bad
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 85%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
32.0 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morecambe
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chester
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
16.07.2022 Chester Chester 1-1 Morecambe Morecambe HAZ
REVIEW Morecambe vs Chester
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Morecambe and Chester with a point apiece. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

The preview numbers (37% / 24% / 39%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.46, roughly 68%.

Morecambe vs Chester Result & Final Score

Morecambe 1-1 Chester in the England - FA Cup on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Morecambe vs Chester Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 37%, draw 24%, Chester 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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