Dorking Wanderers 2-3 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.09
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
44%
+10.0pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.1pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.70/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.00
+58% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aldershot Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town HAZ
01.04.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
28.10.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
11.02.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers FAK
04.02.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
29.10.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town nicked a narrow win over Dorking Wanderers 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aldershot Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 1.67 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Aldershot Town?

Dorking Wanderers 2-3 Aldershot Town in the England - FA Cup on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 54%, draw 20%, Aldershot Town 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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