Aldershot Town 1-1 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Apr 2024

Aldershot Town
1-1 HT 1-0
Dorking Wanderers
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Aldershot Town vs Dorking Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.02
2-3 Goals
38%
2.07
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
10%
5.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
19%
4.13
X/2
8%
11.3
X/X
8%
6.98
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.15
2/2
10%
7.38
2/X
9%
15.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.15 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.4pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aldershot Town v Dorking Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.77/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.74
-6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Aldershot Town vs Dorking Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
11.02.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers FAK
04.02.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
29.10.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL

Aldershot Town 1-1 Dorking Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
1-1
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town and Dorking Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aldershot Town at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 49% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 51%, shots finished 20-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aldershot Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Aldershot Town and 0.50 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Dorking Wanderers?

Aldershot Town 1-1 Dorking Wanderers in the England - National League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 54%, draw 22%, Dorking Wanderers 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aldershot Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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