Southend United 4-2 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 32% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.09
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.8
X/1
22%
3.64
X/2
13%
9.95
X/X
11%
5.2
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
12%
8.24
2/X
6%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.64/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.48
-13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
448 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Boreham Wood
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
14.03.2023 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
20.12.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 1-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood FAK
06.08.2022 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
26.04.2022 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 0-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
30.10.2021 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
4-2
AWAY Boreham Wood
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United saw off Boreham Wood 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Southend United had 57% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 43%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boreham Wood led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Southend United and 0.67 for Boreham Wood.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Boreham Wood?

Southend United 4-2 Boreham Wood in the England - National League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Southend United 47%, draw 23%, Boreham Wood 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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