Chesterfield 1-3 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.09
6+ Goals
8%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 31% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.8pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.37/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.30
+29% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-3 HT 1-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
14.04.2001 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-0 HT 1-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İN2
24.10.2000 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-2 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
1-3
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
70% Ball Possession 30%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers saw off Chesterfield 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chesterfield at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chesterfield had 70% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 30%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chesterfield had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chesterfield and 0.33 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Chesterfield 1-3 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - National League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 49%, draw 26%, Kidderminster Harriers 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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