Altrincham 1-0 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.0
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
12%
4.75
X/2
11%
6.54
X/X
17%
4.6
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
12%
4.72
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +31%
2.31/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.92
+52% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +58%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-2 HT 1-2 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
14.10.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 0-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic FAK
07.04.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-2 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
25.10.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham nicked a narrow win over Oldham Athletic 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Altrincham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Altrincham and 1.25 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Oldham Athletic?

Altrincham 1-0 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 40%, draw 31%, Oldham Athletic 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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