Carlisle United 5-2 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Oct 2025

Carlisle United
5-2 HT 3-0
Boston United
📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Carlisle United vs Boston United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carlisle United v Boston United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United EU Bookmakers 37%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.95/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.62
+30% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +132%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
216 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Carlisle United vs Boston United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlisle United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Boston United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
25.03.2006 Carlisle United Carlisle United 4-2 HT 2-0 Boston United Boston United İN2
18.01.2006 Boston United Boston United 0-5 HT 0-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
03.01.2004 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-1 HT 1-1 Boston United Boston United İN2
25.08.2003 Boston United Boston United 1-0 HT 1-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
08.03.2003 Boston United Boston United 0-0 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
21.09.2002 Carlisle United Carlisle United 4-2 HT 4-1 Boston United Boston United İN2
POST-MATCH Carlisle United vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlisle United ran out comfortable winners over Boston United 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Carlisle United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlisle United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Carlisle United and 1.00 for Boston United.

What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Boston United?

Carlisle United 5-2 Boston United in the England - FA Cup on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 39%, draw 27%, Boston United 34%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carlisle United), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carlisle United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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