Tonbridge Angels 1-3 Chatham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
36%
+9.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chatham Town EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+30% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
222 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Chatham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chatham Town got the better of Tonbridge Angels 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tonbridge Angels at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Chatham Town?

Tonbridge Angels 1-3 Chatham Town in the England - FA Cup on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Chatham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tonbridge Angels win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 45%, draw 21%, Chatham Town 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
11 Oct 2025
14:30 Farnham Town vs Sutton United Analysis →
17:00 Carlisle United vs Boston United Analysis →
17:00 Maldon & Tiptree vs Flackwell Heath Analysis →
17:00 Dorking Wanderers vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
17:00 Slough Town vs Enfield Town Analysis →
17:00 Banbury United vs St. Albans City Analysis →