Bristol City U21 4-0 AFC Bournemouth U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.35
No
33%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
29%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+2.3pp
67%
BTTS Yes
70%
-2.7pp
33%
BTTS No
30%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 54%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.84/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.28
-55% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City U21
1W-0D-2L
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.04.2025 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 2-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 INGPDL
30.09.2024 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 5-0 HT 1-0 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
09.01.2024 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Bristol City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City U21 ran out comfortable winners over AFC Bournemouth U21 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Bournemouth U21 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (70%) landed while both teams to score (67%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Bournemouth U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bristol City U21 and 1.00 for AFC Bournemouth U21.

What was the final score of Bristol City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Bristol City U21 4-0 AFC Bournemouth U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bristol City U21 24%, draw 24%, AFC Bournemouth U21 52%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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