Bristol City U21 5-0 AFC Bournemouth U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.98
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.33
No
41%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
71%
-12.4pp
41%
BTTS No
29%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City U21 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.02/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.91
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.01.2024 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Bristol City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City U21 ran out comfortable winners over AFC Bournemouth U21 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Bristol City U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Bristol City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Bristol City U21 5-0 AFC Bournemouth U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bristol City U21 37%, draw 25%, AFC Bournemouth U21 38%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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