Crewe Alexandra U21 1-1 Wigan Athletic U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.74
Over 2.5
64%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
33%
+2.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
67%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.9pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic U21 EU Bookmakers 54%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.41/2.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.69
+54% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Wigan Athletic U21
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.05.2024 Wigan Athletic U21 Wigan Athletic U21 1-2 HT 1-2 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 INGPDL
26.02.2024 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 3-3 HT 1-1 Wigan Athletic U21 Wigan Athletic U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra U21 and Wigan Athletic U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wigan Athletic U21 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Crewe Alexandra U21 and 2.00 for Wigan Athletic U21.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21?

Crewe Alexandra U21 1-1 Wigan Athletic U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wigan Athletic U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra U21 30%, draw 27%, Wigan Athletic U21 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wigan Athletic U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wigan Athletic U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
30 Sep 2024
14:00 Sheffield Wednesday U21 vs Birmingham City U21 Analysis →
16:00 Bristol City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 Analysis →